CrimeMetric

Crime in Essex Junction, Vermont

Major crime in Essex Junction is 22% below the U.S. rate per resident: 50% lower for persons crimes and 15% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.6% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
78
22% below the U.S. rate
9% below the Vermont rate
down 7.6% in a year
Persons crimes
50
50% below the U.S. rate
27% below the Vermont rate
down 4.0% in a year
Property crimes
85
15% below the U.S. rate
6% below the Vermont rate
down 8.0% in a year
Social disorder
41
59% below the U.S. rate
13% below the Vermont rate
down 6.3% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Theft from vehicle stands out most, at 32% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Essex Junction for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Essex Junction

The middle half of Essex Junction residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 27 and 100; the typical (median) resident's is 66. The citywide figure (78) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Essex Junction, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5041.0%
  • 50–10038.1%
  • 100–20012.2%
  • 200–4008.7%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm109
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am48
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm93
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am44
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.6% in a year; across Vermont it fell 14.3%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.6%VT -14.3%-13.7%VT -14.1%
Persons crimes-4.0%VT -7.8%-1.1%VT -1.8%
Property crimes-8.0%VT -15.3%-15.4%VT -16.1%
Social disorder-6.3%VT -10.5%-8.6%VT -8.9%

Change in expected crimes, with Vermont as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Essex Junction against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

978 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Essex Junction; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Timonium, MD10,841148
Streator, IL10,81098
Essex Junction, VT10,81978
Salem, OH10,83266

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Essex Junction has a higher major-crime index than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Winooski (4 mi), is 1.9 times Essex Junction's rate.

St. Albans22 mi434
Montpelier31 mi180
Burlington5 mi159
Winooski4 mi147
Essex Junction78
Shelburne9 mi70
Milton10 mi58

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Essex Junction

What are the most common crimes in Essex Junction?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 40 a year), theft from vehicle (about 38 a year) and shoplifting (about 36 a year). Compared with the U.S., theft from vehicle stands out most: 32% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Essex Junction's figures add up its 7 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Essex Junction has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 8.7% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 10,819. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Essex Junction, Vermont." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/vt/essex-junction

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100