Crime in Hartford, Vermont
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in Hartford at about the U.S. rate per resident: 21% lower for persons crimes and 7% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.7% from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving Hartford and from local police incident records. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 17.5 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (2.5 violent, 15.0 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, Hartford is lower than 50% of the 26 other Vermont places and higher than 64% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Hartford's 11 census block groups for 10,905 residents. How Vermont residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 95.6%, summary counts only for 0.9% and estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 3.5% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Hartford.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across Hartford
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 57 and 123.
- 0–5017.6%
- 50–10051.2%
- 100–20016.2%
- 200–40015.0%
- 400+0.0%
Check an address in Hartford
Rape / sexual assault stands out most, at 2.0 times the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Highest on weekday daytimes
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 7.7% in a year; across Vermont it fell 14.3%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Vermont in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
Hartford against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
509 of the 2,480 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Hartford's, and 362 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 67. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
Hartford's major-crime index is higher than 3, lower than 2 and within 15% of 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, White River Junction (2 mi), is 1.8 times Hartford's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in Hartford
Is Hartford safe?
Hartford's major-crime index is 102, about the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 50% of the 26 other Vermont places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 21% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 7% above the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in Hartford?
The model expects about 190 major crimes a year in Hartford, about 17.5 per 1,000 residents, about the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in Hartford?
Expected major crimes in Hartford are down 7.7% from a year earlier; across Vermont they're down 14.3%.
What are the most common crimes in Hartford?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are other larceny (about 75 a year), shoplifting (about 41 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 24 a year).
Are car break-ins common in Hartford?
The model expects about 24 thefts from vehicles a year in Hartford, 16% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in Hartford?
The model expects about 10 motor vehicle thefts a year in Hartford, 41% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Is Hartford safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 67 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 134 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in Hartford higher than the Vermont average?
Hartford's major-crime index is 102, 18% above the Vermont rate per resident. Vermont as a whole is 86, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in Hartford compare with White River Junction?
White River Junction, 2 miles away, has a major-crime index of 182, 1.8 times Hartford's rate per resident. Hartford's is 102.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Hartford's figures add up its 11 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Hartford's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 10,905. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Hartford, Vermont." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/vt/hartford
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
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