CrimeMetric

Crime in Birch Bay, Washington

Major crime in Birch Bay is 69% below the U.S. rate per resident: 66% lower for persons crimes and 70% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.3% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
31
69% below the U.S. rate
74% below the Washington rate
down 8.3% in a year
Persons crimes
34
66% below the U.S. rate
61% below the Washington rate
down 10.2% in a year
Property crimes
31
70% below the U.S. rate
76% below the Washington rate
down 7.8% in a year
Social disorder
29
71% below the U.S. rate
64% below the Washington rate
down 9.3% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Birch Bay

Crime by type

Every crime type in Birch Bay is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Birch Bay for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Birch Bay

The middle half of Birch Bay residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 25 and 35; the typical (median) resident's is 26. The citywide figure (31) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Birch Bay, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5085.4%
  • 50–10014.6%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm42
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am19
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm40
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am17
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 8.3% in a year; across Washington it fell 10.1%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-8.3%WA -10.1%-13.3%WA -12.2%
Persons crimes-10.2%WA -5.9%+2.6%WA -1.8%
Property crimes-7.8%WA -10.6%-17.2%WA -13.7%
Social disorder-9.3%WA -9.4%-6.5%WA -6.5%

Change in expected crimes, with Washington as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Birch Bay against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

1,872 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Birch Bay; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Colonie, NY7,708203
Heber, CA7,73438
Burnet, TX7,71537
Birch Bay, WA7,72831

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Birch Bay has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Blaine (3 mi), is 2.3 times Birch Bay's rate.

Burlington37 mi237
Bellingham17 mi181
Blaine3 mi71
Anacortes30 mi70
Lynden14 mi67
Everson18 mi34
Birch Bay31

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Birch Bay

What are the most common crimes in Birch Bay?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 19 a year), burglary (about 8 a year) and aggravated assault (about 6 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 25% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Birch Bay's figures add up its 6 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Birch Bay has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 7,728. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Birch Bay, Washington." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/wa/birch-bay

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100