CrimeMetric

Crime in Newcastle, Washington

Major crime in Newcastle is 13% below the U.S. rate per resident: 77% lower for persons crimes and about the same for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 9.9% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
87
13% below the U.S. rate
28% below the Washington rate
down 9.9% in a year
Persons crimes
23
77% below the U.S. rate
73% below the Washington rate
down 8.0% in a year
Property crimes
101
about the U.S. rate
22% below the Washington rate
down 10.0% in a year
Social disorder
28
72% below the U.S. rate
65% below the Washington rate
down 6.4% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Newcastle

Crime by type

Theft from vehicle and burglary stand out most, at about 1.5 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Newcastle for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Newcastle

The middle half of Newcastle residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 51 and 109; the typical (median) resident's is 83.

Map of Newcastle, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–10065.2%
  • 100–20034.8%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest at night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm74
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am103
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm78
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am101
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 9.9% in a year; across Washington it fell 10.1%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-9.9%WA -10.1%-17.0%WA -12.2%
Persons crimes-8.0%WA -5.9%-9.1%WA -1.8%
Property crimes-10.0%WA -10.6%-17.4%WA -13.7%
Social disorder-6.4%WA -9.4%-10.7%WA -6.5%

Change in expected crimes, with Washington as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Newcastle against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

849 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Newcastle; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Opelousas, LA14,913301
Ozark, AL14,896165
Tomball, TX14,899118
Clarkston, GA14,908109
Newcastle, WA14,90087
Lilburn, GA14,88858
Hereford, TX14,88339

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Newcastle has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Renton (4 mi), is 1.6 times Newcastle's rate.

Tukwila6 mi593
Renton4 mi140
Bellevue5 mi104
Issaquah6 mi88
Newcastle87
Fairwood6 mi71

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Newcastle

What are the most common crimes in Newcastle?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 77 a year), theft from vehicle (about 61 a year) and burglary (about 37 a year). Compared with the U.S., theft from vehicle stands out most: 1.5 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Newcastle's figures add up its 9 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Newcastle has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 14.5% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 14,900. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Newcastle, Washington." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/wa/newcastle

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100