CrimeMetric

Crime in Fairbanks, Alaska

Major crime in Fairbanks is 1.6 times the U.S. rate per resident: 2.6 times for persons crimes and 35% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 5.1% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
157
1.6 times the U.S. rate
about the Alaska rate
down 5.1% in a year
Persons crimes
256
2.6 times the U.S. rate
9% above the Alaska rate
about flat in a year
Property crimes
135
35% above the U.S. rate
7% below the Alaska rate
down 7.2% in a year
Social disorder
140
40% above the U.S. rate
23% below the Alaska rate
down 2.7% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Fairbanks

Crime by type

Aggravated assault stands out most, at 2.6 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Fairbanks for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Fairbanks

The middle half of Fairbanks residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 10 and 197; the typical (median) resident's is 93. The citywide figure (157) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Fairbanks, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5027.8%
  • 50–10029.9%
  • 100–20018.8%
  • 200–40012.0%
  • 400+11.5%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm111
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am207
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm119
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am217
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 5.1% in a year; across Alaska it rose 4.5%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-5.1%AK +4.5%-14.7%AK -11.9%
Persons crimes+0.3%AK 0.0%-5.9%AK -0.8%
Property crimes-7.2%AK +6.2%-18.4%AK -15.9%
Social disorder-2.7%AK +3.3%-9.3%AK -5.8%

Change in expected crimes, with Alaska as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Fairbanks against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

117 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Fairbanks; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Fairbanks, AK31,446157
Juneau, AK31,566138
Matthews, NC31,471137
Rahway, NJ31,50154
Saratoga, CA31,38832

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Fairbanks has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, College (8 mi), is 65% below Fairbanks's rate.

Farmers Loop11 mi387
Fairbanks157
Palmer222 mi66
South Lakes224 mi58
College8 mi55
Badger11 mi45
North Lakes222 mi39
Tanaina222 mi36

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Fairbanks

What are the most common crimes in Fairbanks?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 231 a year), aggravated assault (about 192 a year) and motor vehicle theft (about 98 a year). Compared with the U.S., aggravated assault stands out most: 2.6 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Fairbanks's figures add up its 21 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Fairbanks's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 81.8% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 31,446. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Fairbanks, Alaska." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ak/fairbanks

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100