Crime in Bay Shore, New York
Major crime in Bay Shore is 43% below the U.S. rate per resident: 69% lower for persons crimes and 38% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 9.6% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Shoplifting stands out most, at 14% above the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Bay Shore for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Bay Shore
The middle half of Bay Shore residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 17 and 75; the typical (median) resident's is 49.
- 0–5051.7%
- 50–10031.8%
- 100–20016.4%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weeknights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 9.6% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%
Change in expected crimes, with New York as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Bay Shore against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
649 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Bay Shore; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Bay Shore has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Islip (2 mi), is 38% below Bay Shore's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Bay Shore
What are the most common crimes in Bay Shore?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 114 a year), other larceny (about 97 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 35 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 14% above the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Bay Shore's figures add up its 21 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Bay Shore has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 3.5% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 31,483. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Bay Shore, New York." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ny/bay-shore
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Islip2 mi35
- North Bay Shore2 mi29
- Baywood2 mi27
- Brentwood3 mi30
- East Islip4 mi51
- Islip Terrace4 mi35
- Deer Park4 mi64
- Central Islip5 mi36