CrimeMetric

Crime in Osceola, Arkansas

Major crime in Osceola is 2.3 times the U.S. rate per resident: 5.6 times for persons crimes and 1.6 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.0% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
230
2.3 times the U.S. rate
1.9 times the Arkansas rate
down 7.0% in a year
Persons crimes
561
5.6 times the U.S. rate
3.3 times the Arkansas rate
down 3.2% in a year
Property crimes
157
1.6 times the U.S. rate
41% above the Arkansas rate
down 9.8% in a year
Social disorder
170
1.7 times the U.S. rate
17% above the Arkansas rate
down 6.2% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Osceola

Crime by type

Aggravated assault stands out most, at 7.0 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Osceola for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Osceola

The middle half of Osceola residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 140 and 276; the typical (median) resident's is 156. The citywide figure (230) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Osceola, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–1000.0%
  • 100–20061.1%
  • 200–40022.8%
  • 400+16.1%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest at night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm207
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am265
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm193
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am260
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.0% in a year; across Arkansas it fell 5.6%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.0%AR -5.6%-17.2%AR -11.6%
Persons crimes-3.2%AR -1.0%-7.6%AR +0.2%
Property crimes-9.8%AR -7.0%-24.7%AR -15.6%
Social disorder-6.2%AR -3.8%-14.5%AR -5.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Arkansas as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Osceola against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

78 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Osceola; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Osceola, AR6,527230
Lanett, AL6,529171
Benton, IL6,528100
Warren, AR6,52567
Elkins, WV6,51961
Wayne, NE6,52432

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Osceola has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Manila (17 mi), is 63% below Osceola's rate.

Osceola230
Blytheville17 mi214
Ripley, TN25 mi161
Manila17 mi86
Leachville20 mi84
Gosnell19 mi57
Atoka, TN22 mi32

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Osceola

What are the most common crimes in Osceola?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are aggravated assault (about 105 a year), other larceny (about 70 a year) and burglary (about 37 a year). Compared with the U.S., aggravated assault stands out most: 7.0 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Osceola's figures add up its 6 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Osceola has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 6,527. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Osceola, Arkansas." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ar/osceola

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100