CrimeMetric

Crime in Joshua Tree, California

Major crime in Joshua Tree is 31% above the U.S. rate per resident: 2.3 times for persons crimes and 9% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 9.0% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
131
31% above the U.S. rate
9% above the California rate
down 9.0% in a year
Persons crimes
228
2.3 times the U.S. rate
1.7 times the California rate
down 4.3% in a year
Property crimes
109
9% above the U.S. rate
7% below the California rate
down 11.0% in a year
Social disorder
168
1.7 times the U.S. rate
1.7 times the California rate
down 6.4% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Joshua Tree

Crime by type

Aggravated assault stands out most, at 2.5 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Joshua Tree for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Joshua Tree

The middle half of Joshua Tree residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 82 and 171; the typical (median) resident's is 90. The citywide figure (131) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Joshua Tree, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–10053.7%
  • 100–20030.6%
  • 200–40015.7%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm114
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am149
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm141
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am131
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 9.0% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-9.0%CA -7.4%-10.9%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes-4.3%CA -3.5%-0.7%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-11.0%CA -8.4%-15.7%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-6.4%CA -4.9%-7.6%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Joshua Tree against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

343 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Joshua Tree; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Joshua Tree has a higher major-crime index than 5 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Yucca Valley (6 mi), is 35% below Joshua Tree's rate.

Desert Edge16 mi195
Sky Valley16 mi157
Joshua Tree131
Garnet17 mi101

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Joshua Tree

What are the most common crimes in Joshua Tree?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are aggravated assault (about 37 a year), burglary (about 23 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 21 a year). Compared with the U.S., aggravated assault stands out most: 2.5 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Joshua Tree's figures add up its 6 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Joshua Tree has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 34.7% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 6,520. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Joshua Tree, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/joshua-tree

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100