Crime in El Mirage, Arizona
Major crime in El Mirage is 18% below the U.S. rate per resident: about the same for persons crimes and 22% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 1.4% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 2.4 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in El Mirage for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across El Mirage
The middle half of El Mirage residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 31 and 92; the typical (median) resident's is 55. The citywide figure (82) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5047.7%
- 50–10036.9%
- 100–20012.1%
- 200–4001.2%
- 400+2.1%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest at night
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 1.4% in a year; across Arizona it fell 3.2%
Change in expected crimes, with Arizona as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
El Mirage against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
451 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than El Mirage; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
El Mirage has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Youngtown (2 mi), is 8% below El Mirage's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in El Mirage
What are the most common crimes in El Mirage?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 154 a year), other larceny (about 102 a year) and aggravated assault (about 86 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 2.4 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. El Mirage's figures add up its 27 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- El Mirage's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 28.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 36,048. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in El Mirage, Arizona." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/az/el-mirage
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Youngtown2 mi75
- Sun City3 mi56
- Surprise5 mi51
- Sun City West5 mi41
- Peoria5 mi79
- Litchfield Park8 mi55
- Glendale8 mi143
- Citrus Park9 mi23