Crime in Flagstaff, Arizona
Major crime in Flagstaff is 30% above the U.S. rate per resident: 35% higher for persons crimes and 29% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.1% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Shoplifting and simple assault stand out most, at about 2.6 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Flagstaff for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Flagstaff
The middle half of Flagstaff residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 38 and 178; the typical (median) resident's is 78. The citywide figure (130) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5035.3%
- 50–10017.3%
- 100–20029.8%
- 200–40012.6%
- 400+5.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekend daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 7.1% in a year; across Arizona it fell 3.2%
Change in expected crimes, with Arizona as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Flagstaff against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents
137 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Flagstaff; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Flagstaff has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Sedona (24 mi), is 36% below Flagstaff's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Flagstaff
What are the most common crimes in Flagstaff?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 638 a year), other larceny (about 511 a year) and aggravated assault (about 271 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 2.6 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Flagstaff's figures add up its 52 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Flagstaff has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 17.9% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 78,612. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Flagstaff, Arizona." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/az/flagstaff
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Sedona24 mi84
- Village of Oak Creek (Big Park)29 mi27
- Williams33 mi150
- Cornville36 mi36
- Cottonwood39 mi60
- Lake Montezuma39 mi37
- Clarkdale39 mi41
- Verde Village40 mi31