CrimeMetric

Crime in Blaine, Minnesota

Major crime in Blaine is 40% below the U.S. rate per resident: 78% lower for persons crimes and 32% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 10.4% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
60
40% below the U.S. rate
37% below the Minnesota rate
down 10.4% in a year
Persons crimes
23
78% below the U.S. rate
69% below the Minnesota rate
about flat in a year
Property crimes
68
32% below the U.S. rate
32% below the Minnesota rate
down 11.1% in a year
Social disorder
33
67% below the U.S. rate
53% below the Minnesota rate
down 4.5% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Blaine

Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 48% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Blaine for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Blaine

The middle half of Blaine residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 20 and 53; the typical (median) resident's is 29. The citywide figure (60) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Blaine, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5073.9%
  • 50–1009.7%
  • 100–20012.3%
  • 200–4003.9%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest in the daytime

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm68
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am51
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm68
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am49
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 10.4% in a year; across Minnesota it fell 1.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-10.4%MN -1.8%-7.3%MN -13.1%
Persons crimes+0.6%MN -1.1%+5.6%MN -2.7%
Property crimes-11.1%MN -1.9%-8.3%MN -14.8%
Social disorder-4.5%MN -0.6%-1.5%MN -7.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Minnesota as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Blaine against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

418 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Blaine; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:

Milpitas, CA79,180190
Ocala, FL78,215131
Flagstaff, AZ78,612130
Racine, WI79,01789
Rogers, AR78,53473
Blaine, MN78,66560
Parma, OH78,67256

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Blaine has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Circle Pines (4 mi), is 1.6 times Blaine's rate.

Fridley6 mi209
Shoreview7 mi70
Blaine60
Ham Lake5 mi29

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Blaine

What are the most common crimes in Blaine?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 369 a year), other larceny (about 160 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 102 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 48% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Blaine's figures add up its 52 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Blaine has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 17.5% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 78,665. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Blaine, Minnesota." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mn/blaine

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100