Crime in San Manuel, Arizona
Major crime in San Manuel is 49% below the U.S. rate per resident: 24% lower for persons crimes and 55% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 15.8% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 29% above the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in San Manuel for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Neighborhoods in San Manuel
San Manuel is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 49; the middle half of residents live where it is between 46 and 49.
- 0–5075.2%
- 50–10024.8%
- 100–2000.0%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weeknights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 15.8% in a year; across Arizona it fell 3.2%
Change in expected crimes, with Arizona as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
San Manuel against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents
1,008 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than San Manuel; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
San Manuel has a higher major-crime index than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Catalina (17 mi), is 2.9 times San Manuel's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in San Manuel
What are the most common crimes in San Manuel?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 13 a year), aggravated assault (about 9 a year) and burglary (about 6 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 29% above the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. San Manuel's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- San Manuel has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 4,203. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in San Manuel, Arizona." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/az/san-manuel
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Catalina17 mi145
- Tanque Verde23 mi48
- Oro Valley24 mi56
- Catalina Foothills25 mi112
- Casas Adobes29 mi155
- Flowing Wells31 mi161
- Tucson32 mi172
- Marana32 mi56