Crime in Atwater, California
Major crime in Atwater is about the U.S. rate per resident: 1.6 times for persons crimes and 10% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 16.2% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Aggravated assault stands out most, at 1.7 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Atwater for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Atwater
The middle half of Atwater residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 63 and 118; the typical (median) resident's is 84. The citywide figure (103) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5013.4%
- 50–10041.0%
- 100–20034.1%
- 200–40011.5%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weeknights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 16.2% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%
Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Atwater against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
293 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Atwater; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Atwater has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Winton (3 mi), is 16% below Atwater's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Atwater
What are the most common crimes in Atwater?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are aggravated assault (about 130 a year), other larceny (about 125 a year) and shoplifting (about 105 a year). Compared with the U.S., aggravated assault stands out most: 1.7 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Atwater's figures add up its 19 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Atwater has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 97.5% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 32,922. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Atwater, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/atwater
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100