CrimeMetric

Crime in Fair Oaks, California

Major crime in Fair Oaks is 14% below the U.S. rate per resident: about the same for persons crimes and 16% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are about flat from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
86
14% below the U.S. rate
28% below the California rate
about flat in a year
Persons crimes
99
about the U.S. rate
26% below the California rate
up 13.6% in a year
Property crimes
84
16% below the U.S. rate
29% below the California rate
down 4.0% in a year
Social disorder
57
43% below the U.S. rate
44% below the California rate
up 9.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Fair Oaks

Crime by type

Burglary stands out most, at 1.5 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Fair Oaks for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Fair Oaks

The middle half of Fair Oaks residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 60 and 103; the typical (median) resident's is 78.

Map of Fair Oaks, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5013.6%
  • 50–10055.9%
  • 100–20030.5%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm78
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am99
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm78
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am89
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 0.8% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-0.8%CA -7.4%-14.2%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes+13.6%CA -3.5%-4.2%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-4.0%CA -8.4%-16.8%CA -16.1%
Social disorder+9.0%CA -4.9%-7.1%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Fair Oaks against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

417 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Fair Oaks; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

San Dimas, CA32,936120
Atwater, CA32,922103
Fair Oaks, CA33,01486
Laramie, WY33,00358
Savage, MN32,95747

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Fair Oaks has a higher major-crime index than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Gold River (2 mi), is 6% above Fair Oaks's rate.

Carmichael4 mi116
Fair Oaks86
Folsom6 mi66

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Fair Oaks

What are the most common crimes in Fair Oaks?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are theft from vehicle (about 107 a year), other larceny (about 95 a year) and burglary (about 82 a year). Compared with the U.S., burglary stands out most: 1.5 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Fair Oaks's figures add up its 23 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Fair Oaks has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 93.7% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 33,014. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Fair Oaks, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/fair-oaks

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100