CrimeMetric

Crime in Bear Valley Springs, California

Major crime in Bear Valley Springs is 37% below the U.S. rate per resident: 60% lower for persons crimes and 32% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 11.3% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
63
37% below the U.S. rate
48% below the California rate
up 11.3% in a year
Persons crimes
40
60% below the U.S. rate
70% below the California rate
down 28.5% in a year
Property crimes
68
32% below the U.S. rate
42% below the California rate
up 20.0% in a year
Social disorder
40
60% below the U.S. rate
61% below the California rate
down 14.9% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Every crime type in Bear Valley Springs is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Bear Valley Springs for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Bear Valley Springs

Bear Valley Springs is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 58; the middle half of residents live where it is between 50 and 89.

Map of Bear Valley Springs, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–100100.0%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest at night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm60
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am68
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm54
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am67
Trend and outlook

Major crime rose 11.3% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+11.3%CA -7.4%-14.0%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes-28.5%CA -3.5%-2.5%CA -6.1%
Property crimes+20.0%CA -8.4%-15.5%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-14.9%CA -4.9%-8.5%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Bear Valley Springs against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

1,087 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Bear Valley Springs; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Marion, SC5,720332
Jackson, AL5,723160
Camilla, GA5,716103
Bear Valley Springs, CA5,72163

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Bear Valley Springs has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Golden Hills (7 mi), is 47% above Bear Valley Springs's rate.

Cottonwood23 mi134
Potomac Park24 mi128
Arvin12 mi122
Lamont18 mi117
East Niles22 mi112
Tehachapi9 mi93
Bear Valley Springs63

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Bear Valley Springs

What are the most common crimes in Bear Valley Springs?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 29 a year), theft from vehicle (about 10 a year) and burglary (about 8 a year). Compared with the U.S., other larceny stands out most: about the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Bear Valley Springs's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Bear Valley Springs has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 5,721. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Bear Valley Springs, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/bear-valley-springs

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100