CrimeMetric

Crime in Cottonwood (Kern County), California

Major crime in Cottonwood is 34% above the U.S. rate per resident: 45% higher for persons crimes and 32% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 3.2% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
134
34% above the U.S. rate
11% above the California rate
up 3.2% in a year
Persons crimes
145
45% above the U.S. rate
8% above the California rate
down 14.5% in a year
Property crimes
132
32% above the U.S. rate
12% above the California rate
up 8.6% in a year
Social disorder
118
18% above the U.S. rate
16% above the California rate
down 7.4% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Cottonwood

Crime by type

Motor vehicle theft stands out most, at 2.3 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Cottonwood for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Cottonwood

Cottonwood is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 90; the middle half of residents live where it is between 79 and 201.

Map of Cottonwood, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–10057.7%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–40042.3%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm121
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am148
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm123
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am153
Trend and outlook

Major crime rose 3.2% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+3.2%CA -7.4%-10.9%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes-14.5%CA -3.5%-0.5%CA -6.1%
Property crimes+8.6%CA -8.4%-13.4%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-7.4%CA -4.9%-7.7%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Cottonwood against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

319 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Cottonwood; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Cottonwood has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Potomac Park (2 mi), is about Cottonwood's rate.

Old Stine4 mi209
Cottonwood134
East Niles4 mi112
Hillcrest3 mi109

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Cottonwood

What are the most common crimes in Cottonwood?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 35 a year), motor vehicle theft (about 19 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 17 a year). Compared with the U.S., motor vehicle theft stands out most: 2.3 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Cottonwood's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Cottonwood has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 100.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 5,156. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Cottonwood (Kern County), California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/cottonwood-kern-county

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100