CrimeMetric

Crime in Castro Valley, California

Major crime in Castro Valley is 23% above the U.S. rate per resident: 27% higher for persons crimes and 22% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 1.0% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
123
23% above the U.S. rate
about the California rate
up 1.0% in a year
Persons crimes
127
27% above the U.S. rate
about the California rate
down 3.5% in a year
Property crimes
122
22% above the U.S. rate
about the California rate
up 2.1% in a year
Social disorder
147
47% above the U.S. rate
45% above the California rate
down 2.3% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Castro Valley

Crime by type

Motor vehicle theft and robbery stand out most, at about 2.5 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Castro Valley for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Castro Valley

The middle half of Castro Valley residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 55 and 163; the typical (median) resident's is 82. The citywide figure (123) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Castro Valley, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5014.6%
  • 50–10047.4%
  • 100–20021.5%
  • 200–40013.6%
  • 400+3.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm123
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am127
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm121
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am115
Trend and outlook

Major crime rose 1.0% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+1.0%CA -7.4%-14.4%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes-3.5%CA -3.5%-10.0%CA -6.1%
Property crimes+2.1%CA -8.4%-15.4%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-2.3%CA -4.9%-10.9%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Castro Valley against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

158 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Castro Valley; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:

Albany, GA67,197259
Gary, IN66,911214
Decatur, IL67,111182
Castro Valley, CA67,185123
Victoria, TX67,285118
Eagan, MN67,18787
Malden, MA67,00064
Marana, AZ66,73856

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Castro Valley has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Fairview (2 mi), is 43% below Castro Valley's rate.

Hayward4 mi187
Ashland2 mi153
Cherryland2 mi151
Union City8 mi123
Castro Valley123
Fairview2 mi70
San Ramon9 mi49

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Castro Valley

What are the most common crimes in Castro Valley?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are theft from vehicle (about 349 a year), other larceny (about 345 a year) and motor vehicle theft (about 263 a year). Compared with the U.S., motor vehicle theft stands out most: 2.5 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Castro Valley's figures add up its 42 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Castro Valley has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 61.2% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 67,185. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Castro Valley, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/castro-valley

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100