CrimeMetric

Crime in Burlington, North Carolina

Major crime in Burlington is 1.9 times the U.S. rate per resident: 1.8 times for persons crimes and 2.0 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 3.2% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
192
1.9 times the U.S. rate
1.7 times the North Carolina rate
up 3.2% in a year
Persons crimes
176
1.8 times the U.S. rate
1.8 times the North Carolina rate
down 10.7% in a year
Property crimes
196
2.0 times the U.S. rate
1.7 times the North Carolina rate
up 6.5% in a year
Social disorder
249
2.5 times the U.S. rate
2.0 times the North Carolina rate
down 2.4% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 3.7 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Burlington for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Burlington

The middle half of Burlington residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 73 and 277; the typical (median) resident's is 146. The citywide figure (192) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Burlington, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5011.3%
  • 50–10027.8%
  • 100–20022.9%
  • 200–40028.2%
  • 400+9.8%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest at night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm186
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am198
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm186
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am203
Trend and outlook

Major crime rose 3.2% in a year; across North Carolina it fell 9.0%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+3.2%NC -9.0%-9.9%NC -9.2%
Persons crimes-10.7%NC -4.5%+2.5%NC +2.7%
Property crimes+6.5%NC -9.9%-12.3%NC -11.5%
Social disorder-2.4%NC -6.8%-3.6%NC -3.7%

Change in expected crimes, with North Carolina as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Burlington against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

41 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Burlington; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:

Albany, GA67,197259
Burlington, NC67,489192
Waterloo, IA67,643171
Victoria, TX67,285118
Eagan, MN67,18787
Bellevue, NE67,72968
Beaumont, CA67,74061

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Burlington has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Elon (3 mi), is 84% below Burlington's rate.

Burlington192
Greensboro20 mi173
Reidsville22 mi165
Mebane10 mi150
Hillsborough20 mi143
Graham4 mi91
Elon3 mi32

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Burlington

What are the most common crimes in Burlington?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 513 a year), other larceny (about 499 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 420 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 3.7 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Burlington's figures add up its 46 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Burlington's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 98.5% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 67,489. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Burlington, North Carolina." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/nc/burlington

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100