Crime in Chula Vista, California
Major crime in Chula Vista is 16% below the U.S. rate per resident: about the same for persons crimes and 20% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 2.0% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Robbery stands out most, at 1.6 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Chula Vista for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Chula Vista
The middle half of Chula Vista residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 33 and 91; the typical (median) resident's is 55. The citywide figure (84) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5043.7%
- 50–10035.1%
- 100–20013.9%
- 200–4005.9%
- 400+1.5%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on Friday and Saturday nights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 2.0% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%
Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Chula Vista against U.S. places with 250,000 to 500,000 residents
46 of the 53 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Chula Vista; the middle of the group is 142. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Chula Vista has a higher major-crime index than 5 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Bonita (3 mi), is 2.1 times Chula Vista's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Chula Vista
What are the most common crimes in Chula Vista?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 887 a year), theft from vehicle (about 741 a year) and shoplifting (about 693 a year). Compared with the U.S., robbery stands out most: 1.6 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Chula Vista's figures add up its 146 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Chula Vista's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 53.9% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 276,221. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Chula Vista, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/chula-vista
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Get a free API keyNearest cities we publish
Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Bonita3 mi174
- National City5 mi97
- La Presa6 mi40
- Imperial Beach6 mi49
- Lemon Grove7 mi83
- Spring Valley8 mi32
- Coronado9 mi97
- Casa de Oro-Mount Helix10 mi41