Crime in National City, California
Major crime in National City is about the U.S. rate per resident: 2.3 times for persons crimes and 32% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 6.6% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Robbery stands out most, at 3.4 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in National City for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across National City
The middle half of National City residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 66 and 116; the typical (median) resident's is 87.
- 0–508.2%
- 50–10055.5%
- 100–20032.2%
- 200–4004.1%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on Friday and Saturday nights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 6.6% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%
Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
National City against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents
244 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than National City; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
National City has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Bonita (4 mi), is 1.8 times National City's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in National City
What are the most common crimes in National City?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are aggravated assault (about 295 a year), motor vehicle theft (about 145 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 116 a year). Compared with the U.S., robbery stands out most: 3.4 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. National City's figures add up its 32 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- National City's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 55.1% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 54,905. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in National City, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/national-city
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Bonita4 mi174
- Coronado4 mi97
- Chula Vista5 mi84
- Lemon Grove5 mi83
- La Presa6 mi40
- Imperial Beach7 mi49
- Spring Valley7 mi32
- La Mesa8 mi122