CrimeMetric

Crime in Bakersfield, California

Major crime in Bakersfield is 1.7 times the U.S. rate per resident: 1.7 times for persons crimes and 1.6 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 5.1% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
165
1.7 times the U.S. rate
37% above the California rate
up 5.1% in a year
Persons crimes
167
1.7 times the U.S. rate
25% above the California rate
up 4.2% in a year
Property crimes
165
1.6 times the U.S. rate
40% above the California rate
up 5.3% in a year
Social disorder
110
10% above the U.S. rate
8% above the California rate
up 4.3% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Motor vehicle theft stands out most, at 2.9 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Bakersfield for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Persons crimes

Robbery262471
Murder16625

Property crimes

Shoplifting2022,689
Burglary1631,117

How crime varies across Bakersfield

The middle half of Bakersfield residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 58 and 179; the typical (median) resident's is 91. The citywide figure (165) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Bakersfield, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5015.5%
  • 50–10038.5%
  • 100–20024.4%
  • 200–40014.2%
  • 400+7.4%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest at night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm151
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am178
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm160
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am183
Trend and outlook

Major crime rose 5.1% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+5.1%CA -7.4%-10.6%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes+4.2%CA -3.5%-3.4%CA -6.1%
Property crimes+5.3%CA -8.4%-12.2%CA -16.1%
Social disorder+4.3%CA -4.9%-5.1%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Bakersfield against U.S. places with 250,000 to 500,000 residents

21 of the 53 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Bakersfield; the middle of the group is 142. The 9 nearest in population:

Minneapolis, MN432,807361
Oakland, CA443,222361
Wichita, KS406,088274
Tulsa, OK419,432224
Long Beach, CA447,681178
Aurora, CO410,284166
Bakersfield, CA419,241165
Arlington, TX409,726120
Tampa, FL413,78566

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Bakersfield has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Old Stine (0 mi), is 27% above Bakersfield's rate.

Old Stine0 mi209
La Cresta5 mi196
Greenacres5 mi180
Bakersfield165
Cottonwood4 mi134

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Bakersfield

What are the most common crimes in Bakersfield?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 2,689 a year), theft from vehicle (about 2,007 a year) and other larceny (about 1,952 a year). Compared with the U.S., motor vehicle theft stands out most: 2.9 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Bakersfield's figures add up its 262 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Bakersfield's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 74.7% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 419,241. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Bakersfield, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/bakersfield

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100