CrimeMetric

Crime in Eastern Goleta Valley, California

Major crime in Eastern Goleta Valley is 78% below the U.S. rate per resident: 71% lower for persons crimes and 79% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 15.3% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
22
78% below the U.S. rate
82% below the California rate
down 15.3% in a year
Persons crimes
29
71% below the U.S. rate
79% below the California rate
up 2.1% in a year
Property crimes
21
79% below the U.S. rate
82% below the California rate
down 19.5% in a year
Social disorder
37
63% below the U.S. rate
64% below the California rate
down 9.2% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Eastern Goleta Valley

Crime by type

Every crime type in Eastern Goleta Valley is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Eastern Goleta Valley for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Eastern Goleta Valley

The middle half of Eastern Goleta Valley residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 14 and 18; the typical (median) resident's is 16. The citywide figure (22) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Eastern Goleta Valley, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5096.2%
  • 50–1003.8%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes and on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm24
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am20
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm21
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am24
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 15.3% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-15.3%CA -7.4%-12.4%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes+2.1%CA -3.5%-2.9%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-19.5%CA -8.4%-15.3%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-9.2%CA -4.9%-10.0%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Eastern Goleta Valley against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

953 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Eastern Goleta Valley; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Kahului, HI27,800131
Gladstone, MO27,857103
Fountain, CO27,90772
Lemoore, CA27,83558
Lockport, IL27,99322
Eastern Goleta Valley, CA27,88822

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Eastern Goleta Valley has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Goleta (4 mi), is 2.4 times Eastern Goleta Valley's rate.

Oak View28 mi63
Goleta4 mi54
Montecito8 mi36
Santa Ynez21 mi34
Eastern Goleta Valley22

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Eastern Goleta Valley

What are the most common crimes in Eastern Goleta Valley?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 42 a year), aggravated assault (about 20 a year) and motor vehicle theft (about 14 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 41% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Eastern Goleta Valley's figures add up its 20 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Eastern Goleta Valley has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 27,888. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Eastern Goleta Valley, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/eastern-goleta-valley

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100