CrimeMetric

Crime in Mission Canyon, California

Major crime in Mission Canyon is 76% below the U.S. rate per resident: 71% lower for persons crimes and 77% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 10.0% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
24
76% below the U.S. rate
80% below the California rate
down 10.0% in a year
Persons crimes
29
71% below the U.S. rate
78% below the California rate
about flat in a year
Property crimes
23
77% below the U.S. rate
80% below the California rate
down 12.5% in a year
Social disorder
34
66% below the U.S. rate
66% below the California rate
down 4.7% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Mission Canyon

Crime by type

Every crime type in Mission Canyon is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Mission Canyon for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Mission Canyon

Mission Canyon is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 22; the middle half of residents live where it is between 15 and 32.

Map of Mission Canyon, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–50100.0%
  • 50–1000.0%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes and on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm26
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am22
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm23
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am26
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 10.0% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-10.0%CA -7.4%-14.3%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes+0.6%CA -3.5%-2.2%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-12.5%CA -8.4%-17.6%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-4.7%CA -4.9%-10.3%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Mission Canyon against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

1,610 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Mission Canyon; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Calais, ME3,06962
Cactus, TX3,06656
Dayton, WA3,06749
Mission Canyon, CA3,07124

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Mission Canyon has a higher major-crime index than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Santa Barbara (2 mi), is 5.3 times Mission Canyon's rate.

Oak View24 mi63
Goleta8 mi54
Montecito4 mi36
Santa Ynez24 mi34
Mission Canyon24

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Mission Canyon

What are the most common crimes in Mission Canyon?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 6 a year), aggravated assault (about 2 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 2 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 54% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Mission Canyon's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Mission Canyon has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 3,071. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Mission Canyon, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/mission-canyon

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100