CrimeMetric

Crime in Guerneville, California

Major crime in Guerneville is 18% below the U.S. rate per resident: 11% higher for persons crimes and 24% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 9.8% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
82
18% below the U.S. rate
32% below the California rate
down 9.8% in a year
Persons crimes
111
11% above the U.S. rate
18% below the California rate
down 13.8% in a year
Property crimes
76
24% below the U.S. rate
35% below the California rate
down 8.5% in a year
Social disorder
114
14% above the U.S. rate
12% above the California rate
down 13.4% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Guerneville

Crime by type

Rape / sexual assault stands out most, at 2.8 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Guerneville for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Guerneville

The middle half of Guerneville residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 52 and 77; the typical (median) resident's is 59. The citywide figure (82) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Guerneville, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5020.1%
  • 50–10062.0%
  • 100–20017.9%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest in the daytime

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm93
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am67
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm91
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am75
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 9.8% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-9.8%CA -7.4%-14.8%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes-13.8%CA -3.5%-3.1%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-8.5%CA -8.4%-18.6%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-13.4%CA -4.9%-10.7%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Guerneville against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

552 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Guerneville; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Guerneville, CA3,98882
Delta, UT3,98365
Cresco, IA3,98724

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Guerneville has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Forestville (6 mi), is 66% below Guerneville's rate.

Santa Rosa16 mi92
Sebastopol12 mi85
Guerneville82
Healdsburg10 mi66
Cloverdale19 mi60
Windsor10 mi39

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Guerneville

What are the most common crimes in Guerneville?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 22 a year), aggravated assault (about 9 a year) and burglary (about 9 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 2.8 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Guerneville's figures add up its 6 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Guerneville's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 3,988. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Guerneville, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/guerneville

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100