CrimeMetric

Crime in Esperance, Washington

Major crime in Esperance is 60% below the U.S. rate per resident: 74% lower for persons crimes and 57% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 18.8% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
40
60% below the U.S. rate
67% below the Washington rate
down 18.8% in a year
Persons crimes
26
74% below the U.S. rate
70% below the Washington rate
down 3.6% in a year
Property crimes
43
57% below the U.S. rate
66% below the Washington rate
down 20.5% in a year
Social disorder
28
72% below the U.S. rate
65% below the Washington rate
down 14.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Esperance

Crime by type

Every crime type in Esperance is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Esperance for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Esperance

Esperance is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 30; the middle half of residents live where it is between 20 and 82.

Map of Esperance, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5072.5%
  • 50–10027.5%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm37
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am46
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm35
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am44
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 18.8% in a year; across Washington it fell 10.1%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-18.8%WA -10.1%-13.4%WA -12.2%
Persons crimes-3.6%WA -5.9%-1.5%WA -1.8%
Property crimes-20.5%WA -10.6%-15.0%WA -13.7%
Social disorder-14.0%WA -9.4%-5.6%WA -6.5%

Change in expected crimes, with Washington as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Esperance against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

1,243 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Esperance; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Esperance, WA3,98940
Cresco, IA3,98724
Cozad, NE3,99418

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Esperance has a higher major-crime index than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Edmonds (1 mi), is 2.5 times Esperance's rate.

Lynnwood3 mi294
Shoreline2 mi106
Edmonds1 mi99
Esperance40
Brier4 mi33

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Esperance

What are the most common crimes in Esperance?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 8 a year), theft from vehicle (about 5 a year) and burglary (about 5 a year). Compared with the U.S., burglary stands out most: 29% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Esperance's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Esperance has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 27.5% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 3,989. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Esperance, Washington." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/wa/esperance

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100