CrimeMetric

Crime in Lake Arrowhead, California

Major crime in Lake Arrowhead is 20% above the U.S. rate per resident: 48% higher for persons crimes and 14% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 9.2% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
120
20% above the U.S. rate
about the California rate
down 9.2% in a year
Persons crimes
148
48% above the U.S. rate
10% above the California rate
down 4.4% in a year
Property crimes
114
14% above the U.S. rate
about the California rate
down 10.5% in a year
Social disorder
128
28% above the U.S. rate
26% above the California rate
down 6.4% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Lake Arrowhead

Crime by type

Burglary stands out most, at 2.1 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Lake Arrowhead for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Lake Arrowhead

The middle half of Lake Arrowhead residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 64 and 143; the typical (median) resident's is 86. The citywide figure (120) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Lake Arrowhead, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–509.5%
  • 50–10043.4%
  • 100–20039.3%
  • 200–4003.2%
  • 400+4.6%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm105
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am140
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm122
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am119
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 9.2% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-9.2%CA -7.4%-12.7%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes-4.4%CA -3.5%-0.9%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-10.5%CA -8.4%-16.1%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-6.4%CA -4.9%-7.8%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Lake Arrowhead against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

463 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Lake Arrowhead; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Lake Arrowhead, CA10,645120
Piedmont, CA10,653119
Calimesa, CA10,648110
Palatka, FL10,645109
Vernon, TX10,64689
Bel Aire, KS10,65732

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Lake Arrowhead has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Crestline (5 mi), is 18% below Lake Arrowhead's rate.

Lake Arrowhead120
Muscoy11 mi113
Redlands14 mi109
Crestline5 mi98
Highland10 mi85
Hesperia13 mi84
Mentone14 mi69

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Lake Arrowhead

What are the most common crimes in Lake Arrowhead?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are theft from vehicle (about 41 a year), aggravated assault (about 39 a year) and burglary (about 36 a year). Compared with the U.S., burglary stands out most: 2.1 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lake Arrowhead's figures add up its 15 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Lake Arrowhead has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 4.6% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 10,645. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lake Arrowhead, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/lake-arrowhead

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100