Crime in Picture Rocks, Arizona
Major crime in Picture Rocks is 9% below the U.S. rate per resident: 6% lower for persons crimes and 10% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.6% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Burglary and shoplifting stand out most, at about 27% above the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Picture Rocks for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Picture Rocks
The middle half of Picture Rocks residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 56 and 96; the typical (median) resident's is 92.
- 0–5016.2%
- 50–10059.4%
- 100–20015.7%
- 200–4008.8%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekday daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 7.6% in a year; across Arizona it fell 3.2%
Change in expected crimes, with Arizona as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Picture Rocks against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
797 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Picture Rocks; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Picture Rocks has a higher major-crime index than 5 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Avra Valley (7 mi), is 8% above Picture Rocks's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Picture Rocks
What are the most common crimes in Picture Rocks?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 44 a year), shoplifting (about 42 a year) and aggravated assault (about 28 a year). Compared with the U.S., burglary stands out most: 27% above the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Picture Rocks's figures add up its 6 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Picture Rocks has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 74.4% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 10,656. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Picture Rocks, Arizona." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/az/picture-rocks
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Avra Valley7 mi98
- Marana8 mi56
- Tucson Mountains11 mi54
- Tucson Estates13 mi78
- Casas Adobes14 mi155
- Flowing Wells15 mi161
- Valencia West17 mi56
- Oro Valley17 mi56