CrimeMetric

Crime in Lake Isabella, California

Major crime in Lake Isabella is 2.3 times the U.S. rate per resident: 2.0 times for persons crimes and 2.3 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 8.8% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
227
2.3 times the U.S. rate
1.9 times the California rate
up 8.8% in a year
Persons crimes
205
2.0 times the U.S. rate
1.5 times the California rate
down 24.7% in a year
Property crimes
232
2.3 times the U.S. rate
2.0 times the California rate
up 19.2% in a year
Social disorder
214
2.1 times the U.S. rate
2.1 times the California rate
down 11.8% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Lake Isabella

Crime by type

Robbery stands out most, at 3.7 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Lake Isabella for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Lake Isabella

Lake Isabella is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 133; the middle half of residents live where it is between 133 and 303.

Map of Lake Isabella, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–1000.0%
  • 100–20058.8%
  • 200–40023.1%
  • 400+18.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm217
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am229
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm232
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am244
Trend and outlook

Major crime rose 8.8% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+8.8%CA -7.4%-12.7%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes-24.7%CA -3.5%-6.6%CA -6.1%
Property crimes+19.2%CA -8.4%-13.9%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-11.8%CA -4.9%-9.2%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Lake Isabella against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

57 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Lake Isabella; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Lake Isabella, CA4,076227
Elberton, GA4,080169
Magee, MS4,077113

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Lake Isabella has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, East Niles (30 mi), is 51% below Lake Isabella's rate.

Lake Isabella227
La Cresta33 mi196
Oildale34 mi161
Potomac Park33 mi128
East Niles30 mi112
Hillcrest32 mi109

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Lake Isabella

What are the most common crimes in Lake Isabella?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 56 a year), theft from vehicle (about 25 a year) and motor vehicle theft (about 22 a year). Compared with the U.S., robbery stands out most: 3.7 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lake Isabella's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Lake Isabella has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 100.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 4,076. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lake Isabella, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/lake-isabella

Use these numbers in your product

Any U.S. address by API or MCP, free for 10,000 lookups a month.

Get a free API key

Nearest cities we publish

Major-crime index, U.S. = 100