CrimeMetric

Crime in Lucerne Valley, California

Major crime in Lucerne Valley is 21% above the U.S. rate per resident: 2.4 times for persons crimes and about the same for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 9.0% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
121
21% above the U.S. rate
about the California rate
down 9.0% in a year
Persons crimes
236
2.4 times the U.S. rate
1.8 times the California rate
down 4.2% in a year
Property crimes
96
about the U.S. rate
18% below the California rate
down 11.5% in a year
Social disorder
164
1.6 times the U.S. rate
1.6 times the California rate
down 6.5% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Lucerne Valley

Crime by type

Aggravated assault stands out most, at 2.6 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Lucerne Valley for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Lucerne Valley

Lucerne Valley is made up of 4 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 115; the middle half of residents live where it is between 86 and 156.

Map of Lucerne Valley, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–10036.9%
  • 100–20054.6%
  • 200–4008.6%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm109
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am136
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm125
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am121
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 9.0% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-9.0%CA -7.4%-10.9%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes-4.2%CA -3.5%-0.9%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-11.5%CA -8.4%-16.3%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-6.5%CA -4.9%-7.9%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Lucerne Valley against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

397 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Lucerne Valley; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Galliano, LA6,076135
Lucerne Valley, CA6,084121

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Lucerne Valley has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Big Bear City (14 mi), is about Lucerne Valley's rate.

Lucerne Valley121
Victorville25 mi109
Hesperia22 mi84

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Lucerne Valley

What are the most common crimes in Lucerne Valley?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are aggravated assault (about 37 a year), burglary (about 22 a year) and motor vehicle theft (about 18 a year). Compared with the U.S., aggravated assault stands out most: 2.6 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lucerne Valley's figures add up its 4 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Lucerne Valley has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 91.4% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 6,084. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lucerne Valley, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/lucerne-valley

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100