Crime in McKinleyville, California
Major crime in McKinleyville is 48% below the U.S. rate per resident: 40% lower for persons crimes and 50% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 3.8% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Weapons violations stand out most, at 2.1 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in McKinleyville for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across McKinleyville
The middle half of McKinleyville residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 34 and 60; the typical (median) resident's is 50.
- 0–5056.3%
- 50–10043.7%
- 100–2000.0%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekdays, day and night
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime rose 3.8% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%
Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
McKinleyville against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
1,447 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than McKinleyville; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
McKinleyville has a higher major-crime index than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Arcata (5 mi), is 2.2 times McKinleyville's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in McKinleyville
What are the most common crimes in McKinleyville?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 40 a year), theft from vehicle (about 33 a year) and aggravated assault (about 22 a year). Compared with the U.S., weapons violations stands out most: 2.1 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. McKinleyville's figures add up its 9 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- McKinleyville's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 57.7% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 16,672. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in McKinleyville, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/mckinleyville
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Arcata5 mi113
- Myrtletown11 mi88
- Eureka12 mi147
- Humboldt Hill16 mi55
- Pine Hills17 mi49
- Fortuna25 mi81
- Rio Dell32 mi77
- Crescent City59 mi169