CrimeMetric

Crime in Palmetto Estates, Florida

Major crime in Palmetto Estates is 27% below the U.S. rate per resident: 31% lower for persons crimes and 27% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 17.6% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
73
27% below the U.S. rate
about the Florida rate
down 17.6% in a year
Persons crimes
69
31% below the U.S. rate
16% below the Florida rate
down 13.4% in a year
Property crimes
74
27% below the U.S. rate
about the Florida rate
down 18.4% in a year
Social disorder
42
58% below the U.S. rate
45% below the Florida rate
down 16.7% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Palmetto Estates

Crime by type

Theft from vehicle stands out most, at 20% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Palmetto Estates for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Palmetto Estates

The middle half of Palmetto Estates residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 33 and 77; the typical (median) resident's is 62.

Map of Palmetto Estates, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5041.1%
  • 50–10037.4%
  • 100–20018.0%
  • 200–4003.5%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm0
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am172
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm0
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am136
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 17.6% in a year; across Florida it fell 7.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-17.6%FL -7.8%-9.4%FL -7.9%
Persons crimes-13.4%FL -1.4%-2.1%FL +3.7%
Property crimes-18.4%FL -9.3%-10.9%FL -10.8%
Social disorder-16.7%FL -3.5%-3.9%FL -0.3%

Change in expected crimes, with Florida as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Palmetto Estates against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,060 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Palmetto Estates; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Laurel, MS16,652199
Aberdeen, WA16,585149
Hannibal, MO16,649101
Palmetto Estates, FL16,62973
Davidson, NC16,58820

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Palmetto Estates has a higher major-crime index than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Richmond Heights (1 mi), is 16% above Palmetto Estates's rate.

Goulds4 mi164
Kendall4 mi129
Palmetto Estates73

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Palmetto Estates

What are the most common crimes in Palmetto Estates?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 54 a year), theft from vehicle (about 53 a year) and shoplifting (about 29 a year). Compared with the U.S., theft from vehicle stands out most: 20% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Palmetto Estates's figures add up its 10 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Palmetto Estates's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 35.9% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 16,629. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Palmetto Estates, Florida." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/fl/palmetto-estates

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100