CrimeMetric

Crime in Mill Valley, California

Major crime in Mill Valley is 45% below the U.S. rate per resident: 77% lower for persons crimes and 38% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 5.9% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
55
45% below the U.S. rate
54% below the California rate
down 5.9% in a year
Persons crimes
23
77% below the U.S. rate
83% below the California rate
down 4.7% in a year
Property crimes
62
38% below the U.S. rate
47% below the California rate
down 6.0% in a year
Social disorder
49
51% below the U.S. rate
52% below the California rate
down 5.7% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Mill Valley

Crime by type

Every crime type in Mill Valley is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Mill Valley for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Mill Valley

The middle half of Mill Valley residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 35 and 58; the typical (median) resident's is 45. The citywide figure (55) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Mill Valley, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5066.9%
  • 50–10021.2%
  • 100–20011.9%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights and on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm52
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am59
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm58
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am51
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 5.9% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-5.9%CA -7.4%-18.6%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes-4.7%CA -3.5%-7.6%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-6.0%CA -8.4%-19.5%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-5.7%CA -4.9%-12.8%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Mill Valley against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,381 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Mill Valley; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Warsaw, IN14,74798
Depew, NY14,76387
Mill Valley, CA14,72855

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Mill Valley has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Tamalpais-Homestead Valley (2 mi), is 46% below Mill Valley's rate.

San Rafael5 mi123
Sausalito4 mi73
Mill Valley55
Tiburon4 mi54
Larkspur2 mi34
Kentfield3 mi31

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Mill Valley

What are the most common crimes in Mill Valley?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 44 a year), theft from vehicle (about 35 a year) and shoplifting (about 33 a year). Compared with the U.S., theft from vehicle stands out most: 12% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Mill Valley's figures add up its 13 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Mill Valley has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 14,728. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Mill Valley, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/mill-valley

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100