CrimeMetric

Crime in Millbrae, California

Major crime in Millbrae is 31% below the U.S. rate per resident: 42% lower for persons crimes and 29% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 10.5% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
69
31% below the U.S. rate
43% below the California rate
down 10.5% in a year
Persons crimes
58
42% below the U.S. rate
57% below the California rate
down 4.9% in a year
Property crimes
71
29% below the U.S. rate
39% below the California rate
down 11.4% in a year
Social disorder
99
about the U.S. rate
about the California rate
down 10.2% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Millbrae

Crime by type

Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 2.4 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Millbrae for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Millbrae

The middle half of Millbrae residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 30 and 82; the typical (median) resident's is 41. The citywide figure (69) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Millbrae, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5072.8%
  • 50–10013.8%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–40013.4%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest at night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm69
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am71
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm63
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am69
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 10.5% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-10.5%CA -7.4%-15.2%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes-4.9%CA -3.5%-7.1%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-11.4%CA -8.4%-16.7%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-10.2%CA -4.9%-12.8%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Millbrae against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,137 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Millbrae; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Pottstown, PA23,392249
Alliance, OH23,404155
Chantilly, VA23,438151
Secaucus, NJ23,448138
Hopewell, VA23,40198
Harrison, NJ23,42783
Millbrae, CA23,43569
Munster, IN23,47652

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Millbrae has a higher major-crime index than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, San Bruno (2 mi), is 12% above Millbrae's rate.

Daly City7 mi87
San Mateo6 mi78
San Bruno2 mi77
Brisbane6 mi71
Millbrae69
Pacifica5 mi54

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Millbrae

What are the most common crimes in Millbrae?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are theft from vehicle (about 83 a year), other larceny (about 58 a year) and shoplifting (about 43 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 2.4 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Millbrae's figures add up its 14 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Millbrae's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 41.1% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 23,435. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Millbrae, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/millbrae

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100