CrimeMetric

Crime in Chantilly, Virginia

Major crime in Chantilly is 1.5 times the U.S. rate per resident: 52% lower for persons crimes and 1.7 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 16.4% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
151
1.5 times the U.S. rate
1.8 times the Virginia rate
down 16.4% in a year
Persons crimes
48
52% below the U.S. rate
26% below the Virginia rate
down 11.5% in a year
Property crimes
173
1.7 times the U.S. rate
1.9 times the Virginia rate
down 16.6% in a year
Social disorder
84
16% below the U.S. rate
10% below the Virginia rate
down 16.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Chantilly

Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 4.4 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Chantilly for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Chantilly

The middle half of Chantilly residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 21 and 67; the typical (median) resident's is 52. The citywide figure (151) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Chantilly, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5048.6%
  • 50–10027.0%
  • 100–20013.4%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+11.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm171
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am121
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm190
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am120
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 16.4% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-16.4%VA -8.5%-13.8%VA -12.4%
Persons crimes-11.5%VA -5.2%-8.2%VA -1.9%
Property crimes-16.6%VA -9.0%-14.1%VA -14.1%
Social disorder-16.0%VA -5.3%-6.5%VA -5.7%

Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Chantilly against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

268 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Chantilly; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Pottstown, PA23,392249
Alliance, OH23,404155
Chantilly, VA23,438151
Secaucus, NJ23,448138
Hopewell, VA23,40198
Harrison, NJ23,42783
Millbrae, CA23,43569
Munster, IN23,47652

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Chantilly has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Greenbriar (2 mi), is 51% below Chantilly's rate.

Fair Lakes3 mi217
Chantilly151
Fair Oaks4 mi107
McNair5 mi65
Floris4 mi39
Bull Run4 mi24

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Chantilly

What are the most common crimes in Chantilly?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 329 a year), other larceny (about 126 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 79 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 4.4 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Chantilly's figures add up its 11 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Chantilly's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 35.4% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 23,438. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Chantilly, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/chantilly

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100