CrimeMetric

Crime in Moraga, California

Major crime in Moraga is 74% below the U.S. rate per resident: 72% lower for persons crimes and 75% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.4% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
26
74% below the U.S. rate
78% below the California rate
down 8.4% in a year
Persons crimes
29
72% below the U.S. rate
79% below the California rate
down 4.4% in a year
Property crimes
25
75% below the U.S. rate
78% below the California rate
down 9.3% in a year
Social disorder
11
89% below the U.S. rate
89% below the California rate
down 2.6% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Moraga

Crime by type

Every crime type in Moraga is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Moraga for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Moraga

The middle half of Moraga residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 20 and 32; the typical (median) resident's is 22. The citywide figure (26) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Moraga, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–50100.0%
  • 50–1000.0%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekdays, day and night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm27
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am27
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm25
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am22
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 8.4% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-8.4%CA -7.4%-18.4%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes-4.4%CA -3.5%-5.1%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-9.3%CA -8.4%-21.7%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-2.6%CA -4.9%-11.7%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Moraga against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

2,050 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Moraga; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Union, MO16,369112
Berea, KY16,37242
Moraga, CA16,36826

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Moraga has a higher major-crime index than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Lafayette (4 mi), is 2.7 times Moraga's rate.

Oakland6 mi361
Piedmont6 mi119
Lafayette4 mi69
Alamo6 mi64
Saranap4 mi62
Orinda4 mi51
Moraga26

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Moraga

What are the most common crimes in Moraga?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 20 a year), burglary (about 16 a year) and shoplifting (about 12 a year). Compared with the U.S., burglary stands out most: 41% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Moraga's figures add up its 9 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Moraga has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 16,368. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Moraga, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/moraga

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100