CrimeMetric

Crime in Walnut Creek, California

Major crime in Walnut Creek is 30% above the U.S. rate per resident: 27% lower for persons crimes and 43% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 18.5% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
130
30% above the U.S. rate
8% above the California rate
down 18.5% in a year
Persons crimes
74
27% below the U.S. rate
45% below the California rate
up 1.2% in a year
Property crimes
143
43% above the U.S. rate
22% above the California rate
down 20.3% in a year
Social disorder
63
37% below the U.S. rate
38% below the California rate
down 7.9% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 2.2 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Walnut Creek for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Walnut Creek

The middle half of Walnut Creek residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 40 and 138; the typical (median) resident's is 71. The citywide figure (130) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Walnut Creek, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5036.2%
  • 50–10032.7%
  • 100–20013.9%
  • 200–40011.5%
  • 400+5.6%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest at night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm115
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am149
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm117
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am145
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 18.5% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-18.5%CA -7.4%-15.7%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes+1.2%CA -3.5%-6.1%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-20.3%CA -8.4%-16.8%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-7.9%CA -4.9%-7.2%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Walnut Creek against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

134 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Walnut Creek; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:

Camden, NJ71,962236
Walnut Creek, CA71,639130
Sanford, FL71,243130
Tulare, CA71,98896
Shawnee, KS71,23967
Lakewood, NJ71,61835

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Walnut Creek has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, San Miguel (1 mi), is 82% below Walnut Creek's rate.

Walnut Creek130
Concord5 mi121
Lafayette4 mi69
Alamo4 mi64
Saranap2 mi62
Moraga6 mi26

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Walnut Creek

What are the most common crimes in Walnut Creek?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 497 a year), theft from vehicle (about 329 a year) and other larceny (about 319 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 2.2 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Walnut Creek's figures add up its 50 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Walnut Creek's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 49.8% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 71,639. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Walnut Creek, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/walnut-creek

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100