CrimeMetric

Crime in Moreno Valley, California

Major crime in Moreno Valley is about the U.S. rate per resident: 1.6 times for persons crimes and 13% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 15.7% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
99
about the U.S. rate
18% below the California rate
down 15.7% in a year
Persons crimes
156
1.6 times the U.S. rate
16% above the California rate
up 56.5% in a year
Property crimes
87
13% below the U.S. rate
26% below the California rate
down 28.7% in a year
Social disorder
91
9% below the U.S. rate
10% below the California rate
up 8.5% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Moreno Valley

Crime by type

Aggravated assault and robbery stand out most, at about 1.7 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Moreno Valley for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Moreno Valley

The middle half of Moreno Valley residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 48 and 106; the typical (median) resident's is 64. The citywide figure (99) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Moreno Valley, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5030.7%
  • 50–10041.5%
  • 100–20020.8%
  • 200–4003.6%
  • 400+3.4%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm88
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am113
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm102
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am99
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 15.7% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-15.7%CA -7.4%-9.6%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes+56.5%CA -3.5%-1.2%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-28.7%CA -8.4%-12.9%CA -16.1%
Social disorder+8.5%CA -4.9%-4.8%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Moreno Valley against U.S. places with 100,000 to 250,000 residents

157 of the 268 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Moreno Valley; the middle of the group is 109. The 9 nearest in population:

Des Moines, IA214,654164
Sioux Falls, SD214,134129
Fremont, CA226,519111
Modesto, CA220,996107
Worcester, MA216,412105
Moreno Valley, CA220,50399
Fontana, CA218,05569
Yonkers, NY213,88664

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Moreno Valley has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Mead Valley (7 mi), is 12% above Moreno Valley's rate.

Riverside10 mi159
Nuevo10 mi125
Redlands10 mi109
Moreno Valley99
Woodcrest9 mi93
Perris8 mi73

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Moreno Valley

What are the most common crimes in Moreno Valley?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are aggravated assault (about 882 a year), theft from vehicle (about 845 a year) and other larceny (about 758 a year). Compared with the U.S., aggravated assault stands out most: 1.7 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Moreno Valley's figures add up its 110 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Moreno Valley has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 43.6% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 220,503. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Moreno Valley, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/moreno-valley

Use these numbers in your product

Any U.S. address by API or MCP, free for 10,000 lookups a month.

Get a free API key

Nearest cities we publish

Major-crime index, U.S. = 100