CrimeMetric

Crime in Orange, California

Major crime in Orange is 38% below the U.S. rate per resident: 30% lower for persons crimes and 40% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 14.0% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
62
38% below the U.S. rate
48% below the California rate
down 14.0% in a year
Persons crimes
70
30% below the U.S. rate
48% below the California rate
down 7.1% in a year
Property crimes
60
40% below the U.S. rate
49% below the California rate
down 15.6% in a year
Social disorder
71
29% below the U.S. rate
30% below the California rate
down 21.9% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Orange

Crime by type

Robbery stands out most, at 33% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Orange for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Orange

The middle half of Orange residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 26 and 70; the typical (median) resident's is 42. The citywide figure (62) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Orange, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5060.1%
  • 50–10029.6%
  • 100–2006.9%
  • 200–4001.0%
  • 400+2.4%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm59
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am66
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm63
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am62
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 14.0% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-14.0%CA -7.4%-16.0%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes-7.1%CA -3.5%-8.2%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-15.6%CA -8.4%-18.0%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-21.9%CA -4.9%-10.5%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Orange against U.S. places with 100,000 to 250,000 residents

230 of the 268 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Orange; the middle of the group is 109. The 9 nearest in population:

Syracuse, NY144,573229
Jackson, MS141,895150
Gainesville, FL143,931147
Elizabeth, NJ144,270128
Kent, WA140,413115
Victorville, CA143,242109
Stamford, CT140,37769
Orange, CA142,42562

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Orange has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Villa Park (2 mi), is 41% below Orange's rate.

Anaheim5 mi132
Tustin5 mi92
Santa Ana5 mi86
Placentia6 mi71
Orange62

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Orange

What are the most common crimes in Orange?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are theft from vehicle (about 302 a year), other larceny (about 286 a year) and burglary (about 272 a year). Compared with the U.S., robbery stands out most: 33% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Orange's figures add up its 94 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Orange has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 58.9% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 142,425. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Orange, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/orange

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100