CrimeMetric

Crime in Gainesville, Florida

Major crime in Gainesville is 47% above the U.S. rate per resident: 2.0 times for persons crimes and 34% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 13.7% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
147
47% above the U.S. rate
2.0 times the Florida rate
down 13.7% in a year
Persons crimes
203
2.0 times the U.S. rate
2.5 times the Florida rate
up 5.1% in a year
Property crimes
134
34% above the U.S. rate
1.8 times the Florida rate
down 18.5% in a year
Social disorder
97
about the U.S. rate
25% above the Florida rate
down 5.9% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Gainesville

Crime by type

Rape / sexual assault stands out most, at 2.4 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Gainesville for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Persons crimes

Robbery181111
Murder1397

How crime varies across Gainesville

The middle half of Gainesville residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 39 and 151; the typical (median) resident's is 69. The citywide figure (147) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Gainesville, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5025.9%
  • 50–10034.8%
  • 100–20021.2%
  • 200–4009.8%
  • 400+8.2%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest at night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm126
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am170
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm133
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am168
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 13.7% in a year; across Florida it fell 7.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-13.7%FL -7.8%-10.6%FL -7.9%
Persons crimes+5.1%FL -1.4%+0.2%FL +3.7%
Property crimes-18.5%FL -9.3%-14.2%FL -10.8%
Social disorder-5.9%FL -3.5%-4.1%FL -0.3%

Change in expected crimes, with Florida as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Gainesville against U.S. places with 100,000 to 250,000 residents

77 of the 268 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Gainesville; the middle of the group is 109. The 9 nearest in population:

Syracuse, NY144,573229
New Haven, CT145,597192
Jackson, MS141,895150
Gainesville, FL143,931147
Elizabeth, NJ144,270128
Victorville, CA143,242109
Orange, CA142,42562
Miramar, FL145,27735

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Gainesville has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Alachua (11 mi), is 67% below Gainesville's rate.

Gainesville147
Ocala36 mi131
Middleburg38 mi68
Williston19 mi50
Alachua11 mi49
Newberry15 mi45
Starke25 mi37

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Gainesville

What are the most common crimes in Gainesville?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 1,006 a year), shoplifting (about 881 a year) and aggravated assault (about 670 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 2.4 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Gainesville's figures add up its 84 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Gainesville's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 65.6% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 143,931. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Gainesville, Florida." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/fl/gainesville

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100