CrimeMetric

Crime in Palo Alto, California

Major crime in Palo Alto is 45% above the U.S. rate per resident: 51% lower for persons crimes and 1.7 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 15.0% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
145
45% above the U.S. rate
20% above the California rate
down 15.0% in a year
Persons crimes
49
51% below the U.S. rate
63% below the California rate
down 8.8% in a year
Property crimes
166
1.7 times the U.S. rate
41% above the California rate
down 15.3% in a year
Social disorder
46
54% below the U.S. rate
55% below the California rate
down 14.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Theft from vehicle stands out most, at 3.4 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Palo Alto for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Palo Alto

The middle half of Palo Alto residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 77 and 126; the typical (median) resident's is 90. The citywide figure (145) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Palo Alto, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–503.5%
  • 50–10058.4%
  • 100–20018.6%
  • 200–40010.9%
  • 400+8.5%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm132
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am166
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm134
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am146
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 15.0% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-15.0%CA -7.4%-16.8%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes-8.8%CA -3.5%-6.5%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-15.3%CA -8.4%-17.4%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-14.0%CA -4.9%-10.1%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Palo Alto against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

103 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Palo Alto; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:

Waterloo, IA67,643171
Palo Alto, CA67,916145
Marietta, GA68,22796
Bellevue, NE67,72968
Beaumont, CA67,74061
Palatine, IL67,90343
Kyle, TX68,21741
Novi, MI68,35137

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Palo Alto has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Stanford (1 mi), is 47% below Palo Alto's rate.

Palo Alto145
Stanford1 mi77
Atherton4 mi53
Los Altos5 mi50

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Palo Alto

What are the most common crimes in Palo Alto?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are theft from vehicle (about 610 a year), other larceny (about 560 a year) and shoplifting (about 220 a year). Compared with the U.S., theft from vehicle stands out most: 3.4 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Palo Alto's figures add up its 48 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Palo Alto has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 34.1% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 67,916. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Palo Alto, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/palo-alto

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100