CrimeMetric

Crime in Rancho Calaveras, California

Major crime in Rancho Calaveras is 68% below the U.S. rate per resident: 30% lower for persons crimes and 76% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 16.4% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
32
68% below the U.S. rate
73% below the California rate
down 16.4% in a year
Persons crimes
70
30% below the U.S. rate
48% below the California rate
down 1.4% in a year
Property crimes
24
76% below the U.S. rate
80% below the California rate
down 23.9% in a year
Social disorder
45
55% below the U.S. rate
55% below the California rate
down 10.5% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Rancho Calaveras

Crime by type

Every crime type in Rancho Calaveras is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Rancho Calaveras for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Rancho Calaveras

Rancho Calaveras is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 34; the middle half of residents live where it is between 28 and 36.

Map of Rancho Calaveras, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–50100.0%
  • 50–1000.0%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm31
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am30
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm37
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am34
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 16.4% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-16.4%CA -7.4%-8.0%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes-1.4%CA -3.5%+1.4%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-23.9%CA -8.4%-14.0%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-10.5%CA -4.9%-4.4%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Rancho Calaveras against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

1,830 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Rancho Calaveras; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Rancho Calaveras has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Angels (14 mi), is 2.7 times Rancho Calaveras's rate.

Lodi25 mi145
Morada24 mi118
Sonora25 mi109
Jackson15 mi99
Angels14 mi88
Oakdale25 mi70
Escalon24 mi69
Rancho Calaveras32

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Rancho Calaveras

What are the most common crimes in Rancho Calaveras?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 13 a year), aggravated assault (about 12 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 4 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: about the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Rancho Calaveras's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Rancho Calaveras has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 6,473. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Rancho Calaveras, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/rancho-calaveras

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100