Crime in Avra Valley, Arizona
Major crime in Avra Valley is about the U.S. rate per resident: about the same for persons crimes and about the same for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.0% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Shoplifting stands out most, at 1.8 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Avra Valley for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Neighborhoods in Avra Valley
Avra Valley is made up of 4 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 118; the middle half of residents live where it is between 55 and 119.
- 0–500.0%
- 50–10040.5%
- 100–20059.5%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekday daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 7.0% in a year; across Arizona it fell 3.2%
Change in expected crimes, with Arizona as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Avra Valley against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents
570 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Avra Valley; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Avra Valley has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Picture Rocks (7 mi), is 8% below Avra Valley's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Avra Valley
What are the most common crimes in Avra Valley?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 37 a year), other larceny (about 23 a year) and aggravated assault (about 18 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 1.8 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Avra Valley's figures add up its 4 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Avra Valley has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 100.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 6,485. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Avra Valley, Arizona." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/az/avra-valley
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Picture Rocks7 mi91
- Marana11 mi56
- Tucson Mountains18 mi54
- Casas Adobes19 mi155
- Tucson Estates20 mi78
- Oro Valley20 mi56
- Flowing Wells21 mi161
- Valencia West24 mi56