CrimeMetric

Crime in Rancho Murieta, California

Major crime in Rancho Murieta is 63% below the U.S. rate per resident: 60% lower for persons crimes and 64% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are about flat from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
37
63% below the U.S. rate
69% below the California rate
about flat in a year
Persons crimes
40
60% below the U.S. rate
70% below the California rate
up 13.1% in a year
Property crimes
36
64% below the U.S. rate
69% below the California rate
down 3.8% in a year
Social disorder
28
72% below the U.S. rate
72% below the California rate
up 9.2% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Rancho Murieta

Crime by type

Every crime type in Rancho Murieta is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Rancho Murieta for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Rancho Murieta

Rancho Murieta is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 33; the middle half of residents live where it is between 28 and 48.

Map of Rancho Murieta, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–50100.0%
  • 50–1000.0%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm32
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am43
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm33
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am40
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 0.9% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-0.9%CA -7.4%-14.5%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes+13.1%CA -3.5%-1.5%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-3.8%CA -8.4%-17.7%CA -16.1%
Social disorder+9.2%CA -4.9%-7.4%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Rancho Murieta against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

1,706 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Rancho Murieta; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Rancho Murieta, CA5,65537

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Rancho Murieta has a higher major-crime index than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Mather (11 mi), is 4.5 times Rancho Murieta's rate.

Mather11 mi168
Gold River12 mi92
Wilton11 mi74
Folsom12 mi66
Rancho Murieta37

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Rancho Murieta

What are the most common crimes in Rancho Murieta?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are theft from vehicle (about 9 a year), other larceny (about 8 a year) and burglary (about 7 a year). Compared with the U.S., burglary stands out most: 24% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Rancho Murieta's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Rancho Murieta has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 69.8% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 5,655. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Rancho Murieta, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/rancho-murieta

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100