CrimeMetric

Crime in Rancho Cordova, California

Major crime in Rancho Cordova is 47% above the U.S. rate per resident: 1.7 times for persons crimes and 43% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 22.2% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
147
47% above the U.S. rate
23% above the California rate
up 22.2% in a year
Persons crimes
169
1.7 times the U.S. rate
26% above the California rate
up 6.7% in a year
Property crimes
143
43% above the U.S. rate
22% above the California rate
up 27.0% in a year
Social disorder
98
about the U.S. rate
about the California rate
up 19.8% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Rancho Cordova

Crime by type

Robbery stands out most, at 2.4 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Rancho Cordova for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Rancho Cordova

The middle half of Rancho Cordova residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 66 and 141; the typical (median) resident's is 99. The citywide figure (147) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Rancho Cordova, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5017.5%
  • 50–10033.8%
  • 100–20030.9%
  • 200–40016.0%
  • 400+1.8%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest at night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm144
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am153
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm142
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am151
Trend and outlook

Major crime rose 22.2% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+22.2%CA -7.4%-8.1%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes+6.7%CA -3.5%+1.5%CA -6.1%
Property crimes+27.0%CA -8.4%-10.6%CA -16.1%
Social disorder+19.8%CA -4.9%-2.6%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Rancho Cordova against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

99 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Rancho Cordova; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:

Duluth, MN88,625169
Baytown, TX88,081153
Rancho Cordova, CA88,381147
Homestead, FL87,770128
Kissimmee, FL87,896107
Waukegan, IL87,856105
Layton, UT88,46477

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Rancho Cordova has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Mather (2 mi), is 14% above Rancho Cordova's rate.

Mather2 mi168
Rancho Cordova147
Carmichael4 mi116
La Riviera4 mi108
Rosemont5 mi95
Fair Oaks5 mi86

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Rancho Cordova

What are the most common crimes in Rancho Cordova?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 559 a year), theft from vehicle (about 417 a year) and shoplifting (about 401 a year). Compared with the U.S., robbery stands out most: 2.4 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Rancho Cordova's figures add up its 57 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Rancho Cordova has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 89.9% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 88,381. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Rancho Cordova, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/rancho-cordova

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100