CrimeMetric

Crime in Rancho Santa Margarita, California

Major crime in Rancho Santa Margarita is 74% below the U.S. rate per resident: 70% lower for persons crimes and 74% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 18.6% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
27
74% below the U.S. rate
78% below the California rate
down 18.6% in a year
Persons crimes
30
70% below the U.S. rate
77% below the California rate
down 2.2% in a year
Property crimes
26
74% below the U.S. rate
78% below the California rate
down 22.0% in a year
Social disorder
33
67% below the U.S. rate
68% below the California rate
down 12.4% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Rancho Santa Margarita

Crime by type

Every crime type in Rancho Santa Margarita is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Rancho Santa Margarita for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Rancho Santa Margarita

The middle half of Rancho Santa Margarita residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 10 and 29; the typical (median) resident's is 13. The citywide figure (27) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Rancho Santa Margarita, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5088.8%
  • 50–1009.9%
  • 100–2001.3%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm28
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am24
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm32
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am22
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 18.6% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-18.6%CA -7.4%-17.2%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes-2.2%CA -3.5%-7.6%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-22.0%CA -8.4%-19.6%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-12.4%CA -4.9%-13.9%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Rancho Santa Margarita against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

929 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Rancho Santa Margarita; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

York, PA45,545156
Monroe, NC45,524131
Schertz, TX45,48850
Rancho Santa Margarita, CA45,54827
Navarre, FL45,49221

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Rancho Santa Margarita has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Coto de Caza (3 mi), is 14% above Rancho Santa Margarita's rate.

Rancho Santa Margarita27

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Rancho Santa Margarita

What are the most common crimes in Rancho Santa Margarita?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 68 a year), aggravated assault (about 33 a year) and other larceny (about 33 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 53% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Rancho Santa Margarita's figures add up its 31 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Rancho Santa Margarita has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 9.8% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 45,548. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Rancho Santa Margarita, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/rancho-santa-margarita

Use these numbers in your product

Any U.S. address by API or MCP, free for 10,000 lookups a month.

Get a free API key

Nearest cities we publish

Major-crime index, U.S. = 100