CrimeMetric

Crime in Coto de Caza, California

Major crime in Coto de Caza is 70% below the U.S. rate per resident: 62% lower for persons crimes and 71% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 2.5% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
30
70% below the U.S. rate
75% below the California rate
up 2.5% in a year
Persons crimes
38
62% below the U.S. rate
72% below the California rate
down 7.9% in a year
Property crimes
29
71% below the U.S. rate
76% below the California rate
up 6.0% in a year
Social disorder
96
about the U.S. rate
6% below the California rate
down 3.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Coto de Caza

Crime by type

Drugs and alcohol and simple assault stand out most, at about 23% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Coto de Caza for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Coto de Caza

The middle half of Coto de Caza residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 26 and 32; the typical (median) resident's is 28.

Map of Coto de Caza, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5091.2%
  • 50–1008.8%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

About the same at every time of week

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm31
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am30
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm31
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am30
Trend and outlook

Major crime rose 2.5% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+2.5%CA -7.4%-12.9%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes-7.9%CA -3.5%-2.2%CA -6.1%
Property crimes+6.0%CA -8.4%-16.0%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-3.0%CA -4.9%-9.2%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Coto de Caza against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,954 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Coto de Caza; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Riverhead, NY15,109204
Branson, MO15,147187
Glasgow, KY15,151106
Milford, DE15,17098
Azle, TX15,11184
Eureka, MO15,13942
Coto de Caza, CA15,13830

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Coto de Caza has a higher major-crime index than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Las Flores (2 mi), is 36% above Coto de Caza's rate.

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Coto de Caza

What are the most common crimes in Coto de Caza?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are theft from vehicle (about 23 a year), other larceny (about 21 a year) and aggravated assault (about 17 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 23% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Coto de Caza's figures add up its 10 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Coto de Caza has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 8.8% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 15,138. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Coto de Caza, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/coto-de-caza

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100