Crime in Shafter, California
Major crime in Shafter is 33% below the U.S. rate per resident: 9% lower for persons crimes and 38% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.7% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Weapons violations and motor vehicle theft stand out most, at about 33% above the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Shafter for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Shafter
The middle half of Shafter residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 44 and 72; the typical (median) resident's is 54. The citywide figure (67) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5044.2%
- 50–10036.3%
- 100–20019.5%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on Friday and Saturday nights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 8.7% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%
Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Shafter against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
554 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Shafter; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Shafter has a higher major-crime index than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Rosedale (9 mi), is about Shafter's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Shafter
What are the most common crimes in Shafter?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 67 a year), aggravated assault (about 59 a year) and motor vehicle theft (about 55 a year). Compared with the U.S., weapons violations stands out most: 33% above the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Shafter's figures add up its 11 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Shafter's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 27.5% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 25,998. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Shafter, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/shafter
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Rosedale9 mi68
- Wasco9 mi72
- Greenacres11 mi180
- McFarland13 mi54
- Oildale13 mi161
- Bakersfield15 mi165
- Old Stine15 mi209
- Benton Park16 mi195