Crime in Thermalito, California
Major crime in Thermalito is 33% below the U.S. rate per resident: 14% higher for persons crimes and 43% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 11.3% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Rape / sexual assault stands out most, at 2.1 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Thermalito for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Thermalito
The middle half of Thermalito residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 25 and 92; the typical (median) resident's is 67.
- 0–5040.4%
- 50–10047.9%
- 100–20011.7%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekday daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 11.3% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%
Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Thermalito against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents
1,000 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Thermalito; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Thermalito has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Oroville (3 mi), is 3.0 times Thermalito's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Thermalito
What are the most common crimes in Thermalito?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 30 a year), aggravated assault (about 21 a year) and burglary (about 11 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 2.1 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Thermalito's figures add up its 6 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Thermalito's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 26.6% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 8,108. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Thermalito, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/thermalito
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Oroville3 mi205
- South Oroville4 mi73
- Oroville East6 mi54
- Palermo6 mi65
- Gridley12 mi93
- Durham14 mi49
- Paradise17 mi78
- Live Oak17 mi76