CrimeMetric

Crime in Durham, California

Major crime in Durham is 51% below the U.S. rate per resident: 22% lower for persons crimes and 57% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 13.5% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
49
51% below the U.S. rate
59% below the California rate
down 13.5% in a year
Persons crimes
78
22% below the U.S. rate
41% below the California rate
down 17.9% in a year
Property crimes
43
57% below the U.S. rate
64% below the California rate
down 11.5% in a year
Social disorder
93
7% below the U.S. rate
9% below the California rate
down 18.2% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Durham

Crime by type

Weapons violations stand out most, at 1.5 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Durham for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Durham

The middle half of Durham residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 38 and 48; the typical (median) resident's is 44.

Map of Durham, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5078.4%
  • 50–10016.8%
  • 100–2004.7%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm56
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am44
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm50
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am41
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 13.5% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-13.5%CA -7.4%-14.5%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes-17.9%CA -3.5%-2.7%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-11.5%CA -8.4%-19.3%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-18.2%CA -4.9%-9.9%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Durham against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

1,396 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Durham; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Posen, IL5,226133
Valdese, NC5,215118
Erda, UT5,21372
Durham, CA5,21949

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Durham has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Chico (7 mi), is 3.0 times Durham's rate.

Oroville16 mi205
Chico7 mi146
Paradise13 mi78
Thermalito14 mi67
Magalia16 mi65
Palermo20 mi65
Durham49

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Durham

What are the most common crimes in Durham?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 16 a year), aggravated assault (about 10 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 7 a year). Compared with the U.S., weapons violations stands out most: 1.5 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Durham's figures add up its 5 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Durham's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 5,219. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Durham, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/durham

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100