Crime in Valley Center, California
Major crime in Valley Center is 68% below the U.S. rate per resident: 39% lower for persons crimes and 75% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 5.1% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 20% above the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Valley Center for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Social disorder
How crime varies across Valley Center
The middle half of Valley Center residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 22 and 28; the typical (median) resident's is 26. The citywide figure (32) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5085.7%
- 50–10014.3%
- 100–2000.0%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on Friday and Saturday nights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime rose 5.1% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%
Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Valley Center against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents
1,847 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Valley Center; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Valley Center has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Hidden Meadows (6 mi), is 32% below Valley Center's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Valley Center
What are the most common crimes in Valley Center?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are aggravated assault (about 14 a year), burglary (about 11 a year) and other larceny (about 9 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 20% above the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Valley Center's figures add up its 6 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Valley Center's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 14.3% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 9,160. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Valley Center, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/valley-center
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Hidden Meadows6 mi22
- Escondido8 mi96
- Bonsall11 mi30
- San Marcos12 mi47
- Vista13 mi67
- Lake San Marcos14 mi29
- Fallbrook15 mi37
- Ramona16 mi40